Senior Economist: Tax Revenue at National Treasury

Purpose of the Role

• To Assist in the provision of tax revenue analysis and tax revenue forecasting.

Qualification/s Requirements

• A Grade 12 is required coupled with a minimum bachelor’s degree (equivalent to NQF level 7) in Economics or Econometrics or Statistics;
• A minimum of 4 years’ experience of which 2 years should be on an Assistant Director level or equivalent obtained in research, tax policy analysis and formulation;
• Knowledge and experience of the broader policy framework on tax revenue and related processes; and 
• Exposure to statistical and econometric modelling techniques.

Key Performance Areas
Prepare tax revenue estimates for the annual Budget Review and Medium Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS): 

• Estimates of tax revenue by tax instrument for the annual Budget Review – the focus being of the main tax instruments, i.e. personal income tax (PIT), value-added tax (VAT), corporate income tax (CIT), fuel taxes, excise duties and customs duties. ?Revised tax revenue estimates at the time of the MTBPS;
• Revisions to tax revenue estimates between the annual Budget Review and MTBPS for inputs into formulating a revised fiscal framework;
• Preparation of basic statistical tables and graphs of tax revenues for the annual Budget Review and MTBPS; and
• Prepare analytical inputs (e.g. notes, presentations) to communicate revenue trends and outlook as inputs into various fiscal strategy forums.

Monitor monthly tax revenues and revise tax revenue estimates:

• Monitor monthly tax revenues to track deviations from estimates and provide plausible explanations for deviations by tax instrument.

Develop statistical and econometric techniques to improve on the quality and accuracy of tax revenue estimates:

• Develop statistical and econometric models to forecast tax revenues in both macro data and micro data concepts; and 
• Make use of basic regression techniques and where appropriate more advanced econometric and statistical modelling.
• Convene the Revenue Analysis Working Committee (RAWC): 
• Arrange the logistics of the RAWC meetings;
• Prepare the tax revenue estimates on behalf of the Tax Revenue and Policy Costings chief directorate for these meetings. 
• Be able to defend these estimates at these meetings. Keep minutes of these meetings; and
• Prepare the inputs of the Tax Revenue and Policy Costings chief director for deliberations by the RAWC meetings and keep minutes of the outcome of such deliberations.

Closing Date: 17 November 2025